Golden nugget 2: The Stray Elephant

Dr. Eliyahu M. Goldratt

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Level of TOC knowledge acquired:

Advanced

Designed for:

Business owners, Consultants, Executives, Implementers and Managers

Topics:

Operations/Production and Strategy and Tactics

Application:

Make to availability

Language:

English

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When initially determining the proper buffer target, we need to determine the maximum consumption within replenishment time. That is done by looking back at the consumption during past time-intervals (intervals that are equal in length to replenishment time) and choosing amongst them the max value – or actually, the reasonable max. What does a “reasonable max” means? Well, statistically, the consumption behaves, roughly, as a normal (Gaussian) distribution…